Poll puts Jonathan 7.01 per cent ahead of leading opponent
RESULTS released yesterday by the Nigeria Polls and Survey group has put the People’s Democratic Party’s Presidential candidate Dr. Goodluck Jonathan ahead of his closest rival Major General Mohammed Buhari of the All Progressive Congress with a slight margin of 7.01% in a nation-wide poll conducted by the reputable group of social scientists.
According to a release by the coordinator of the group, Dr. Ayo Alao result from the poll are based on a five item questionnaire administered on a total of ten thousand, two hundred and ninety four (10,294) registered voters, selected from the thirty six states of the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory. Of these, 6,592 were males and 3,702 were females.
It added that the questionnaire sought to elicit information on respondent’s knowledge of political parties, possession of PVC s, awareness of the election date, willingness to vote during the election and the respondents’ preferred president candidate in the 2015 Presidential election.
The Nigeria Polls and Survey group in the release said a total of five thousand, five hundred and eight (5508) respondents indicated their intention to vote for the presidential candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan compared with a total of four thousand, seven hundred and eighty six (4786) respondents who favored the presidential candidate of the All Progressive Congress (APC), General Mohammed Buhari.
The data analysis shows that the Peoples Democratic Party’s candidate Dr. Goodluck Jonathan may likely have a better showing in the next Saturday’s Presidential election in South-South, South-East and the Federal Capital Territory while General Mohammed Buhari of the All Progressive Congress may poll more votes in North-West and North-East. South-West and North-Central remain largely the battle ground that may swing victory either way.
A new dimension to the social class dynamics is the fact that enthusiasts for the restructuring of the Nigerian State in this category may find exciting, the steps just taken by President Jonathan to ensure the implementation of the recommendation of the National Conference. This would be a plus for the president’s candidacy
The analysis also indicated that primary primordial factors like ethnic affiliations, religion and social class may be the influencing factors in the election.