Heat is on: Nigeria’s fight for stability in a warming world

Nigerians are facing a massive whammy as scorching heatwave intensifies. Photo: businessday.ng

Nigeria is a distinctive nation, renowned for its diverse array of cultures and abundance of natural resources; however, it is currently positioned at a pivotal juncture. Lately, it has been confronting several serious issues that threaten its stability and economic health.


These challenges include the persistent threat of terrorism, deep-seated communal conflicts, and substantial economic difficulties affecting its widespread population.

The situation in Nigeria is intricate and involves multiple layers of complexity. Nevertheless, in the midst of these pressing issues, there exists a crucial, frequently disregarded element that exacerbates these troubles: climate change.

Climate change transcends being solely an ecological concern; it serves as a trigger that magnifies preexisting vulnerabilities and disparities, driving the nation deeper into a state of insecurity and economic uncertainty. As we explore the complexities of the Nigerian dilemma, it becomes increasingly evident that the evolving climate is interconnected with the very essence of the country’s ongoing crises.


The objective of this article is to untangle these relationships, illuminating how climate change is not only transforming Nigeria’s terrain but also its future prospects. Through grasping these connections, we can initiate an understanding of the necessity to address climate change not only for environmental preservation, but as a pivotal battleground in our joint endeavour for security, economic endurance, and societal concord in Nigeria.

In the expansive territory of Nigeria, where the Sahel region meets the Sahara desert, the profound effects of climate change on security are of utmost importance. The country, which is already facing numerous security obstacles, witnesses these challenges being amplified by the continuous progression of climate change—a subtle factor that is contributing to the escalation of conflicts and terrorism. Central to Nigeria’s security crisis lies the harsh truth of desertification.

This creeping environmental catastrophe is not just a loss of greenery; it represents a direct threat to the livelihoods of millions. As fertile land turns to dust, nomadic herdsmen, custodians of centuries-old traditions of cattle rearing, are forced southward in search of greener pastures. This phenomenon of migration, propelled by the pressing demand for water and cultivable land, sparks and escalates conflicts with established farmers, resulting in a distressing cycle of violence and reprisal.


Consequently, there is an escalating militarisation of rural areas, where communities are fragmented, and confidence is undermined. Adding complexity to the security scenario is the critical condition in the Lake Chad Basin. Previously an expansive body of water rich in biodiversity, Lake Chad has diminished by a remarkable 90 per cent in recent decades, a clear indication of the severe impacts of climate change. This substantial decrease has not only been an ecological setback but also a socioeconomic catastrophe, depriving millions of their main sources of water, sustenance, and employment.

The scarceness of resources has stimulated rivalry, culminating in conflicts that are exploited by extremist factions like Boko Haram. Through leveraging the vulnerability and marginalisation of local inhabitants, these factions identify fertile ground for recruitment, offering a sense of purpose and support in areas where governmental assistance is lacking.

The convergence of climate change and security issues in Nigeria serves as a striking illustration of how environmental deterioration can unsettle regions, convert resource-based disagreements into violent clashes, and fortify insurgencies. The environmental stimuli, in conjunction with existing socioeconomic stressors, produce a volatile mix that not only undermines national security but also weakens the social fabric. Resolving these interconnected crises demands a comprehensive approach that transcends conventional security tactics.


It requires a united endeavor to combat climate change through sustainable environmental methods, in addition to schemes targeting poverty reduction, education, and conflict mediation. The way ahead must be charted with policies that embed climate resilience in national security strategies, ensuring that communities are prepared to adjust to the evolving environment while establishing the groundwork for enduring peace. Faced with such hurdles, the Nigerian government and the global community must realise the pressing necessity for action.

By recognising the impact of climate change in exacerbating security challenges, we can initiate efforts to address the underlying causes of conflict, not just the symptoms. Consequently, the campaign against climate change is intricately linked to the pursuit of peace and security in Nigeria—a struggle that must not end in defeat.

Climate change is having profound and varied effects on Nigeria, deepening existing issues and creating new challenges in a country where a significant number rely on agriculture for their daily bread. Its impacts are felt across several sectors, notably in agriculture, energy, and the nation’s economic health. Agriculture, a cornerstone of Nigeria’s economy and a vital source of jobs for a large part of its people, is under considerable threat. Shifts in weather patterns, extreme weather events, and climbing temperatures are upending farming practices, resulting in reduced harvests and endangering food security.


For instance, erratic rainfall patterns can cause either droughts or floods, damaging crops reliant on consistent water supply. These agricultural hurdles lead to increased food prices, pressuring the economic fabric of society and lowering farmers’ incomes, many of whom are already facing tough times. The impact is far-reaching, affecting the whole economy. Should agricultural output fall, Nigeria may need to increase its food imports, straining its financial reserves and heightening its reliance on foreign aid. Furthermore, troubles in the agricultural sector can negatively impact related industries like food processing and distribution, causing ripple effects throughout the economy. In addition, climate change raises the specter of natural disasters, which can inflict immediate and stark economic damage, requiring substantial funds for repair and rebuilding efforts.

To tackle these economic challenges, Nigeria needs to adopt thorough strategies aimed at increasing its climate resilience. This approach involves lessening reliance on sectors that are prone to climate impacts, fostering sustainable methods in farming, building infrastructure robust enough to handle climate-related issues, and shifting towards renewable energy. It’s also crucial for Nigeria to work together with the global community, securing support and resources for climate adaptation and mitigation projects. The goal here isn’t just to safeguard Nigeria’s present economy but to lay a foundation for continuous development and progress, ensuring a better future for coming generations while being mindful of the earth’s environmental limits.
Dr.Ogungbemi wrote from San Antonio, Texas.

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