Nigeria won’t be rescued by policies

By Dr. Abiola Salami

In Issue 001 of the Performance Leadership Brief™ — The National Performance Edition, I argued that Nigeria has entered a new phase of its economic journey. After three years of difficult reforms, the defining challenge is shifting from making the right policy decisions to converting those decisions into measurable national performance.

The evidence makes that distinction important.

Nigeria’s economy grew by 3.87 per cent in 2025 and by 3.89 per cent in the first quarter of 2026. The IMF projects growth of approximately 4.1 per cent in 2026. Gross international reserves have strengthened, the foreign exchange market has become more orderly, and inflation has moderated, with headline inflation at 15.91 per cent in June 2026, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

These are meaningful developments.

Yet the same Brief highlights another reality. Poverty and food insecurity remain significant. Financing remains expensive, with the Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Rate at 26.5 per cent in July. Businesses continue to confront constrained consumer demand, while the Federal Government has acknowledged that much of the fiscal gains anticipated from recent reforms have been absorbed by debt servicing and higher public expenditure rather than immediately translating into visible development outcomes.

The question, therefore, is no longer simply whether Nigeria is making the right policy choices.It is whether our institutions can convert those choices into results.That is an execution question.

Good policy is only the beginning
One of the most dangerous assumptions in leadership is that making the right decision automatically produces the right result.It does not.A policy is an intention and performance is an outcome.Between the two sits the machinery of execution.

Consider what must happen for an economic reform to improve the life of an ordinary Nigerian.

Reform must create better incentives. Those incentives must stimulate investment. Investment must increase productive capacity. Productivity must enable businesses to expand. Expansion must create jobs. Jobs must generate incomes. Rising incomes must ultimately improve household prosperity.

None of this happens automatically.At every point in that chain, somebody must execute.Institutions must coordinate. Leaders must decide. Resources must be allocated. Responsibilities must be clear. Progress must be measured. Problems must be corrected.

When those capabilities are weak, even excellent policies can produce disappointing outcomes.This is why Nigeria’s next crisis may not be a shortage of policy.It may be a shortage of execution capability.

When Strategy Becomes Activity
Corporate Nigeria should pay attention because this problem is not confined to government.Every year, organisations hold strategy retreats.The presentations are impressive.Growth, digital transformation, market leadership, customer experience, innovation, operational excellence and people development.

The language is rarely the problem.Sometimes, the strategy itself is not even the problem.The real test begins on Monday morning.Who owns each strategic priority?What decisions must be taken?What resources have been committed?Which functions must collaborate?What behaviours must change?What milestones must be achieved?What happens when performance falls behind?And who is ultimately accountable for the result?

When these questions are unanswered, strategy gradually becomes activity.Meetings are held. Reports are written. Presentations are delivered. Budgets are spent.Yet the organisation remains remarkably similar.
This is one of the central distinctions in Performance Leadership™ that activity tells us what was done. Performance tells us what changed because it was done.Nigeria needs much more of the second.

The hidden execution gap
In the inaugural Performance Leadership Brief™, I introduced the Reform-to-Performance Gap™ i.e. the distance between implementing a reform and delivering the measurable economic, institutional and social outcomes that justify the sacrifices required to achieve it.

Underneath that gap sits something deeper.An execution gap.

Nigeria can make the correct policy decision and still produce an inadequate outcome if the institutions responsible for translating that decision into results cannot execute effectively.

That leads to what I call the Performance Leadership Diagnosis™ i.e. Nigeria’s greatest constraint is increasingly not the absence of reform. It is the capability to execute consistently.

That diagnosis should change how we evaluate leadership.A Minister should not ultimately be judged by the number of policies announced.A Ministry should not be judged by the number of programmes launched.A budget should not be celebrated merely because money was appropriated or released.A CEO should not be applauded simply because a new strategy has been unveiled.

The question must increasingly becomeWhat measurable outcome did it produce?

Read the full article on www.tppafrica.com

About Dr. Abiola Salami

Dr. Abiola Salami is the Principal Performance Strategist at CHAMP – a full scale professional services firm trusted by high performing business leaders for providing Executive Coaching, Workforce Development & Advisory Services to improve performance.He is the Convener of Dr Abiola Salami International Leadership Bootcamp ; The Peak PerformerTM FestivalMade4More Accelerator Program and The New Year Kickoff Summit. You can reach his team on [email protected] and connect with him @abiolachamp on all social media platforms.

Join Our Channels

Taboola Recommendation Widget