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Centre declares Edo election relatively credible despite hitches


INEC Chairman Professor Mahmood Yakubu PHOTO: GETTY IMAGES

•Only 25.2 per cent of registered voters cast their ballot
•Peaceful conduct of poll, a refreshing development
•Decline in voter turnout worrisome

Foremost pro-democracy think tank, the Centre for Democracy and Development (CDD), has rated the conduct and outcome of the September 19 governorship election in Edo State, scoring it relatively credible despite the challenges and infractions, which dogged the process. CDD, which deployed 250 stationary and roving observers to keep a close eye on key processes in the election, handed down its verdict in a final observation briefing held yesterday at Transcorp Hilton, Abuja.

The centre noted that the election was relatively peaceful when compared to other polls recently conducted by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC). It commended an array of stakeholders involved in the process for working tirelessly to ensure the tense atmosphere in the build up to the election did not result in violence on a scale as envisaged.

In the final observation report signed by CDD Director, Idayat Hassan and Head, Election Analysis Centre (EAC), Professor
Adele Jinadu, the group further described the general peaceful conduct as a refreshing development.


According to them: “It (the peaceful conduct) points the way away from the ‘degeneration’ that has historically been the country’s sad experience with electoral outcomes, and towards outcomes that significantly reflect the mandate of the electorate.

“In this respect, the election potentially augurs well for the future of democracy and development in the country, particularly in view of the determination shown by the electorate to protect their mandate and ensure that it counted in the critical penultimate months to the election day.

“In addition to the electorate, the credible outcome of the election was due to the activities of various strategic stakeholders, particularly the Independent National Electoral Commission, and to the peace-keeping efforts the Oba of Benin and the Abdulsalam Abubakar-led National Peace Committee, which worked and intervened firmly, under very dire pre-election context that portended violent elections. Their intervention helped to turn electoral ‘swords’ into ‘plowshares.’

However, the CDD warned that there remained certain anomalies in the process, which if left unaddressed could turn the current euphoria into a mirage that would evaporate, precipitating a reversal to the status quo in the country’s experience of seriously flawed electoral outcomes.

The group pointed at the decline in voter turnout as a trend, which would not augur well for robust participation of the electorate, including marginalised groups. Backing its assertions with figures, CDD noted that in 2003, voter turnout stood at 78 per cent of 1,432,891 registered voters. In 2020, however, only 25.2 per cent of voters turned out to cast their ballot out of a registered number of 2,210,534. CDD’s figures similarly showed a consistent decline in voter turnout from 78 per cent in 2003 to 40.5per cent in 2012, and further down to 32.3 per cent in 2016. CDD therefore expressed worries that the further decline in voter turnout in 2020, which came down to as low as 25.2 per cent could be read as a steady loss of faith in the electoral process, as well as the entire democratic system of governance.


Speaking on other critical issues in the electoral process, the centre identified the controversial modality used for selecting the governorship candidates of the two major political parties, as a major cause of tension during the electioneering.

According to CDD’s report, “The acrimony that resulted from it created serious intra-party fissures that cast an ominous pall over the peaceful conduct of the election. Another process issue was the political culture of a zero-sum approach to competitive electoral process that tends to precipitate violent electoral conflict and to encourage the abuse of the power of incumbency for partisan party political advantage.

“A third factor was the general poverty in the state and the high unemployment rate, particularly among the youth, that provided a pool from which political parties and their candidates drew to corrupt the electoral process and to steal the people’s mandate. A fourth issue is the competent and effective administration and management of the election by INEC to generate trust in the conduct of the election. A final issue is the conduct of the election during the COVID-19 pandemic, in view of the conduct implications for public health.”

The group also drew attention to the use of unethical, non-conventional campaign strategies, which it emphasised helped to shape perception, deligitmise the process and actors. It also noted that hate speech instigated tensions and facilitated violence. CDD further warned that the combination of vote-buying and insidious influence campaign as emerging trend, which changed the pattern of votes without the electorate knowing they have been influenced.

On the performance of INEC, the report pointed at the malfunction of smart cards readers in a number of polling units, as a sticky issue, which would have to be dealt with in future election. It, however, acknowledged that the overall performance was smooth across the state.


“Also, most polling stations opened on time,” it also stated. “We commend INEC for the introduction of the result viewing portal in improving transparency and accountability of the collation and declaration of results. This has enhanced citizens’ trust in the electoral process. Generally, the COVID-10 protocols that INEC outlined in its guidelines for the elections, particularly social distancing, were not complied with. This has far-reaching health implication for the state.”

To improve the conduct and credibility of future elections, CDD handed down a number of recommendations for electoral reforms, which it stressed were necessary to build on the gains of the election and address some of the problems in the electoral process.

“The objective of such reform will strengthen electoral integrity and to more broadly promote sustainably good governance in the country to reinforce, and not separate it from, electoral reform, drawing on the experience of Edo. It is clear from the Edo governorship election that, when encouraged and mobilized, citizens can serve as effective guardrail to securely protect electoral mandate from assault by anti-democracy elements.


“Importantly, we task INEC to concentrate on the dual purpose of implementing her protocol on conducting elections during COVID-19 and improved voter education programme. These are broad tasks that must be implemented ahead of the forthcoming Ondo governorship elections.”

Specific recommendation made to a broad range of stakeholders by the centre include the need to reform the country’s party system to strengthen internal party democracy. CDD stressed the need for a mechanism to ensure open, transparent, inclusive and democratic elections of party leadership and nomination processes for elective public political offices. These measures, it further stated, would ensure that political parties pay more attention to the nomination of women and youths as candidates, who should also have equal access to leadership opportunities within party organisations.

On the problem of extreme poverty and unemployment, which it noted was responsible for buying and selling of votes, the centre called on government and citizens to push to encourage compliance with Chapter II of the Nigerian Constitution and to achieve the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in order to curb poverty in the country.


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