Oyo opinion poll: Makinde favoured to win election with wide margin

Following the poll conducted by Oyo State Independent Monitoring Group (OYSIMG), Oyo State Governor, Seyi Makinde, has been favoured as the leading candidate in the gubernatorial election rescheduled for Saturday, March 18.

The Executive Director of OYSIMG, Mr Jamiu Ishola, stated that the survey, which was carried out from February 15 to March 15, puts Makinde ahead of other candidates vying for the highest job in the state.

Ishola noted that in the gubernatorial race poll, Makinde of the People’s Democracy Party (PDP) leads overwhelmingly by 74.2per cent, a greater share than all other candidates combined, while Teslim Folarin of the All Progressives Congress (APC) and Adebayo Adelabu of Accord Party (AP) had 13.8 per cent and 7.3 per cent of the votes respectively, while 4.7 per cent of the vote went to other candidates.

This analysis has been adjusted for a 5 per cent margin of error to accommodate other exogenous factors.

The survey shows that Makinde is highly popular among women voters, at 87.6 per cent compared to 60.8 per cent among male voters. In addition to this, the number of citizens determined to vote stands at 92.5 per cent, while the proportion of undecided votes is inconsequential at 7.5 per cent, and unlikely to affect the result significantly come March 18.

In order of preference for who can be trusted with the state’s treasury, Seyi Makinde is particularly popular to be trusted among the voters, receiving 87.1 per cent of the citizens’ vote in this category compared to Bayo who has about 8.6 per cent, while Folarin has 2.4 per cent and others have 1.9 per cent of the votes.

Seyi Makinde demonstrated through the poll that he has a higher capability, capacity, and competence to deliver the dividend of democracy to the citizens by pulling 89.1 per cent of the citizens’ votes while Bayo and Folarin are almost tied on 5.3 per cent and 4.8 per cent of the votes respectively, while 0.8 per cent of the votes went to others.

Furthermore, on who will be the voters’ preference if the election is held today, a greater number of citizens have made up their minds that the governor has their votes. Polling result shows Makinde leading significantly with 74.2 per cent, surpassing the combined vote of others who has 25.8 per cent.

Also, 97 per cent of respondents indicated that they would vote based on their conscience and about 85 per cent majority believe that their vote will count.

Finally, the responses from the overall survey covering over 3,570 respondents who were randomly selected from all parts of the state suggested that the governor is the most popular candidate among Oyo State voters and with the latest endorsement by the Labour Party (LP), Social Democratic Party (SDP) and other major parties in the state, the trend shows a more possible boost in numbers and a victory for Makinde, the incumbent governor of Oyo State.